Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAI-TAK-17
in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
14 Dec 2017 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (Malaysia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 13 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 65 19.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 74 11.5 million No people Philippines
        Green 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 74 13 million No people Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.3, 127.3
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.9 million people 11.2, 127.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 2.9 million people 11.1, 126.9 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 4 million people 11.4, 126.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 15 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4.4 million people 11.9, 126.4 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 15 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7.4 million people 12.4, 126 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 16 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 12.5 million people 12.8, 125.4 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 17 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.9, 123.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 18 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.2, 120.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 19 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, 117.9 Philippines
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Philippines no people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Eastern Visayas Philippines
          Northern Mindanao Philippines
          Central Visayas Philippines
          Bicol Philippines
          Western Visayas Philippines
          Southern Tagalog Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people
          Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 10000 people
          Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
          Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 190000 people
          Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 18000 people
          Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
          Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
          Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
          Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
          Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 91000 people
          Calbayog Eastern Visayas Philippines City 68000 people
          Bulan Bicol Philippines City 28000 people
          Roxas Western Visayas Philippines City 100000 people
          Naga Bicol Philippines City 140000 people
          Kalibo Western Visayas Philippines City 56000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
          Borongan 2 0
          Siargao 3 0
          Dolores 2 0
          Nonoc 4 0
          Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
          Catbalogan 15 0
          Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Biliran Natl 89 0
          Calbayog CYP 3 Civ. Paved No 4800
          Catarman CRM 2 Civ. Paved No 4400
          Sorsogon 37 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Masbate MBT 15 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Sicogon Island ICO unknown 0
          Virac VRC 37 Civ. Paved No 5100
          Legaspi LGP 20 Civ. Paved No 6800
          Roxas RXS 3 Civ. Paved No 6200
          Naga WNP 43 Civ. Paved No 4600
          Daet DTE 3 Civ. Paved No 3700
          Romblon TBH 3 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Larap 5 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Guiuan Philippines
          Gen Macarthur Philippines
          Borongan PHBGV Philippines
          Numancia Philippines
          Dapa Philippines
          Lagome Philippines
          Tanauan Philippines
          Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
          Sogod Philippines
          Talalora Philippines
          Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
          Baybay Philippines
          Ormoc Philippines
          Port Bello Philippines
          Laoang Philippines
          Leyte Philippines
          Calbayog Philippines
          Calubian Philippines
          Villaba Philippines
          Palompon Philippines
          Arevalo Philippines
          San Isidro Philippines
          Santa Fe Philippines
          Casiguran Philippines
          Bulan Philippines
          Sorsogon Philippines
          Masbate Philippines
          Magallanes Bay Philippines
          Masbate PHMBT Philippines
          Virac Catanduanes Island Philippines
          Coal Harbor Philippines
          Legazpi PHLGP Philippines
          Donsol Philippines
          Port Barrera Philippines
          Tabaco Philippines
          Tabaco / Legaspi PHTBC Philippines
          Port Capiz Philippines
          Tandoc PHTDC Philippines
          Romblon Island PHRLN Philippines
          Mercedes Philippines
          Port Ragay Philippines
          Odiongan Philippines
          Paracale Philippines
          Catanauan Philippines
          Jose Panganiban PHJPM Philippines
          Aloneros Philippines
          General Luna Philippines
          Santa Cruz Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.